Tradesport Election Prediction 7/21/04

Electoral Votes:
Kerry:         264
Bush:          247
Needed To Win: 270


Likelyhood Of       State                 Electoral
Bush Victory (%)                          Votes

1.0                 DC                    3
5.0                 RHODE ISLAND          4
5.6                 MASSACHUSETTS         12
6.0                 HAWAII                4
7.0                 NEWYORK               31
8.0                 VERMONT               3
9.0                 CONNECTICUT           7
9.9                 ILLINOIS              21
10.2                CALIFORNIA            55
14.5                MARYLAND              10
15.0                NEWJERSEY             15
16.5                DELAWARE              3
24.0                WASHINGTON            11
28.0                MAINE                 4
30.0                MINNESOTA             10
37.0                IOWA                  7
37.0                MICHIGAN              17
41.0                OREGON                7
43.2                WISCONSIN             10
43.8                NEWMEXICO             5
45.9                PENNSYLVANIA          21
47.9                NEWHAMPSHIIRE         4

50.2                FLORIDA               27

55.8                OHIO                  20
59.0                MISSOURI              11
59.6                ARKANSAS              6
60.0                NEVADA                5
66.0                WESTVIRGINNIA         5
79.2                NORTHCAROLLINA        15
81.0                COLORADO              9
81.9                ARIZONA               10
82.0                VIRGINIA              13
83.0                LOUISIANA             9
83.0                TENNESSEE             11
92.0                KENTUCKY              8
94.0                SOUTHCAROLLINA        8
95.0                GEORGIA               15
95.0                INDIANA               11
95.0                MONTANA               3
96.0                KANSAS                6
96.9                ALASKA                3
96.9                IDAHO                 4
96.9                NEBRASKA              5
98.0                SOUTHDAKOTTA          3
98.9                MISSISSIPPI           6
98.9                NORTHDAKOTTA          3
98.9                OKLAHOMA              7
98.9                TEXAS                 34
98.9                UTAH                  5
98.9                WYOMING               3
99.0                ALABAMA               9